UC Dublin vs Drogheda prediction
D2026-11-07 · IRL · Kickoff 2026-11-07T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the UC Dublin vs Drogheda prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Drogheda (A) at 55.0%. The double-chance call is X2 at 78.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:21+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 55.0%
LowX2 · 78.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:21+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 55.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 8%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 21.0% | 31.0% | 48.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 21.7% | 23.4% | 55.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 27.0% | 24.2% | 48.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-30. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
UC Dublin
Scored / game: 0.40
Conceded / game: 2.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Drogheda
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2023-09-01 · Drogheda 3–0 UC Dublin
2023-07-14 · UC Dublin 1–3 Drogheda
2023-05-26 · Drogheda 3–1 UC Dublin
2023-03-10 · UC Dublin 0–1 Drogheda
2022-10-21 · UC Dublin 2–1 Drogheda
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-30
Data fingerprint: d72973f662c0b44bc673de35c2235b9fa2301554e1d910af7537ac368cd49246
Model: existing-source-policy-v1