UD Ourense vs Merida AD market sentiment

2026-11-14 · MARKET_ES3 · Kickoff 2026-11-14T15:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the UD Ourense vs Merida AD match analysis

What is the UD Ourense vs Merida AD market prediction?

Market prediction: 2 at 46.9%. The market-derived double-chance prediction is X2 at 75.5%.

These are market-implied probabilities, separate from the Kickstatix model and excluded from its track record.

Market Prediction · This match is listed by the market feed. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. It is excluded from model accuracy and football-result statistics.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 46.9%

1 24.5%2 46.9%X 28.6%

Market double chance prediction

X2 · 75.5%

12 71.4%1X 53.1%X2 75.5%

Double chance is derived from normalized 90-minute market prices. Its outcomes overlap and do not sum to 100%.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Under 2.5 · 55.5%

Over 2.5 44.5%Under 2.5 55.5%

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-14T14:30:00+00:00.

Picks may change until this cutoff. Only the frozen picks will be scored.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market data fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
UD Ourense	N/A	24.5%	N/A
Draw	N/A	28.6%	N/A
Merida AD	N/A	46.9%	N/A

Live comparison unavailable for stale data, missing forecasts or matches already started.

1X2 volumeUnavailable

1X2 liquidity$4.66K

Market activityUnknown

Event open interestUnavailable

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (98.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 24.00% raw · Draw: 28.00% raw · Away: 46.00% raw

Probability movement · raw market prices

Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.

UD Ourense

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

Draw

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

Merida AD

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

All event markets · 59

Will UD Ourense win on 2026-11-14?

moneyline

Yes: 24.0% · No: 76.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $1.61K · Market 6933384
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:47:54.87335Z

Will UD Ourense vs. Merida AD end in a draw?

moneyline

Yes: 28.0% · No: 72.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $773 · Market 6933385
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:47:54.87335Z

Will Merida AD win on 2026-11-14?

moneyline

Yes: 46.0% · No: 54.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $2.28K · Market 6933386
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:47:54.87335Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 0 - 0 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 50.0% · No: 50.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $27 · Market 6933387
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 0 - 1 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 18.0% · No: 82.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $89 · Market 6933388
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 1 - 0 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 17.0% · No: 83.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $90 · Market 6933389
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 0 - 2 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $65 · Market 6933390
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 1 - 1 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 18.0% · No: 82.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $88 · Market 6933391
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 2 - 0 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $65 · Market 6933392
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 0 - 3 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $65 · Market 6933393
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 1 - 2 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 23.0% · No: 77.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $77 · Market 6933394
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 2 - 1 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 17.5% · No: 82.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $97 · Market 6933395
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 3 - 0 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $65 · Market 6933396
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 0 - 4 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $69 · Market 6933397
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 1 - 3 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $74 · Market 6933398
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 2 - 2 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 16.0% · No: 84.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $100 · Market 6933399
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 3 - 1 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $65 · Market 6933400
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 4 - 0 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $70 · Market 6933401
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 0 - 5 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $59 · Market 6933402
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 1 - 4 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $69 · Market 6933403
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 2 - 3 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 13.5% · No: 86.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $98 · Market 6933404
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 3 - 2 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 15.5% · No: 84.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $93 · Market 6933405
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 4 - 1 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $65 · Market 6933406
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 5 - 0 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $74 · Market 6933407
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 1 - 5 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $60 · Market 6933408
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 2 - 4 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $69 · Market 6933409
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 3 - 3 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 20.5% · No: 79.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $81 · Market 6933410
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 4 - 2 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $74 · Market 6933411
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 5 - 1 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $65 · Market 6933412
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 2 - 5 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $60 · Market 6933413
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 3 - 4 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 13.0% · No: 87.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $93 · Market 6933414
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 4 - 3 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 13.0% · No: 87.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $101 · Market 6933415
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 5 - 2 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.0% · No: 76.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $66 · Market 6933416
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 3 - 5 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.0% · No: 76.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $29 · Market 6933417
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 4 - 4 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 17.0% · No: 83.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $90 · Market 6933418
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 5 - 3 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 24.5% · No: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $43 · Market 6933419
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 4 - 5 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 13.5% · No: 86.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $41 · Market 6933420
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 5 - 4 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 18.5% · No: 81.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $44 · Market 6933421
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: UD Ourense 5 - 5 Merida AD?

soccer exact score

Yes: 16.5% · No: 83.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $39 · Market 6933422
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:53:55.107795Z

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

soccer exact score

Yes: 16.0% · No: 84.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $21 · Market 6933423
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:45:55.656786Z

Spread: UD Ourense (-1.5)

spreads

UD Ourense: 37.0% · Merida AD: 63.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $415 · Market 6934404
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:47:54.87335Z

Spread: Merida AD (-1.5)

spreads

Merida AD: 37.5% · UD Ourense: 62.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $670 · Market 6934405
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

Spread: UD Ourense (-2.5)

spreads

UD Ourense: 36.5% · Merida AD: 63.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $71 · Market 6934406
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

Spread: Merida AD (-2.5)

spreads

Merida AD: 25.0% · UD Ourense: 75.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $390 · Market 6934407
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:51:55.617876Z

Spread: UD Ourense (-3.5)

spreads

UD Ourense: 33.5% · Merida AD: 66.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $71 · Market 6934408
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:55:55.337454Z

Spread: Merida AD (-3.5)

spreads

Merida AD: 25.5% · UD Ourense: 74.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $90 · Market 6934409
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

Spread: UD Ourense (-4.5)

spreads

UD Ourense: 33.5% · Merida AD: 66.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $265 · Market 6934410
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

Spread: Merida AD (-4.5)

spreads

Merida AD: 28.5% · UD Ourense: 71.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $86 · Market 6934411
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

Spread: UD Ourense (-5.5)

spreads

UD Ourense: 29.0% · Merida AD: 71.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $117 · Market 6934412
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

Spread: Merida AD (-5.5)

spreads

Merida AD: 35.5% · UD Ourense: 64.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $285 · Market 6934413
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

UD Ourense vs. Merida AD: O/U 0.5

totals

Over: 73.5% · Under: 26.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $496 · Market 6934414
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

UD Ourense vs. Merida AD: O/U 1.5

totals

Over: 70.0% · Under: 30.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $1.17K · Market 6934415
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:55:55.337454Z

UD Ourense vs. Merida AD: O/U 2.5

totals

Over: 44.5% · Under: 55.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $1.01K · Market 6934416
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:47:54.87335Z

UD Ourense vs. Merida AD: O/U 3.5

totals

Over: 33.5% · Under: 66.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $559 · Market 6934417
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

UD Ourense vs. Merida AD: O/U 4.5

totals

Over: 26.0% · Under: 74.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $228 · Market 6934418
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

UD Ourense vs. Merida AD: O/U 5.5

totals

Over: 26.5% · Under: 73.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $340 · Market 6934419
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

UD Ourense vs. Merida AD: O/U 6.5

totals

Over: 24.5% · Under: 75.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $270 · Market 6934420
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:55:55.337454Z

UD Ourense vs. Merida AD: O/U 7.5

totals

Over: 26.0% · Under: 74.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $95 · Market 6934421
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

UD Ourense vs. Merida AD: O/U 8.5

totals

Over: 26.0% · Under: 74.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $195 · Market 6934422
Fetched 2026-11-12T15:55:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-12T15:57:54.980205Z

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Market-only coverage. No model forecast or verified football result is claimed.

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