Udinese vs Lecce prediction
L2026-10-18 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-18T10:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Udinese vs Lecce prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Udinese (H) at 51.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 78.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:57+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–3
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 51.5%
Low1X · 78.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:57+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 51.5%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 11%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 40.1% | 35.0% | 25.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 51.5% | 26.8% | 21.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 48.8% | 28.5% | 22.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Udinese
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Lecce
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-08 · Lecce 2–1 Udinese
2025-10-25 · Udinese 3–2 Lecce
2025-02-21 · Lecce 0–1 Udinese
2024-10-05 · Udinese 1–0 Lecce
2024-05-13 · Lecce 0–2 Udinese
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 7f170d77a9d48e2e434447c7ae4783e284c5e36340936162f07ba7230dc61195
Model: existing-source-policy-v1