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UNAM Pumas vs Cruz Azul prediction

2026-10-12 · MEX · Kickoff 2026-10-12T01:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the UNAM Pumas vs Cruz Azul match analysis

What is the UNAM Pumas vs Cruz Azul prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Cruz Azul (A) at 47.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:57+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–3

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 47.6%

Low
1 27.6%X 24.8%2 47.6%
Double chance

12 · 75.2%

Low
1X 52.4%X2 72.4%12 75.2%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:57+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 47.6%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings27.4%37.4%35.3%
Market · margin removed27.6%24.8%47.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson37.9%27.0%35.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-28. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

UNAM Pumas

LWLDL

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-27Atl. San Luis (H)2–3
2026-09-20Atlas (A)1–1
2026-09-14Guadalajara Chivas (A)0–3
2026-09-11Club Leon (H)3–1
2026-08-29Club Tijuana (A)0–2

Cruz Azul

WWWLD

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-26Toluca (H)3–3
2026-09-20Monterrey (A)0–1
2026-09-13Club America (H)4–3
2026-09-07Santos Laguna (H)1–0
2026-08-29Necaxa (A)3–1

Head to head

2026-05-25 · UNAM Pumas 1–2 Cruz Azul

2026-05-22 · Cruz Azul 0–0 UNAM Pumas

2026-03-15 · UNAM Pumas 2–2 Cruz Azul

2025-11-09 · Cruz Azul 2–3 UNAM Pumas

2025-04-06 · Cruz Azul 3–2 UNAM Pumas

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:12:57+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-28
Data fingerprint: 5608d6cf2bb28ebe771236e5e7e4727f71445d9f339519cb0939b7c77d4f1f2a
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →