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Union Berlin vs Elversberg prediction

2026-10-10 · D1 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T13:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Union Berlin vs Elversberg match analysis

What is the Union Berlin vs Elversberg prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Union Berlin (H) at 41.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:13+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 41.9%

Low
1 41.9%X 25.2%2 32.9%
Double chance

12 · 74.8%

Low
1X 67.1%X2 58.1%12 74.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:13+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 41.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 15%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
Method1X2
Elo ratings28.8%38.8%32.4%
Market · margin removed41.9%25.2%32.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson29.0%23.7%47.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Union Berlin

WDLLL

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 2.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-18Bayern Munich (A)0–7
2026-09-11Schalke 04 (H)1–3
2026-09-05Leverkusen (A)0–4
2026-08-29Ein Frankfurt (H)3–3
2026-05-16Augsburg (H)4–0

Elversberg

WWLD

Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 1.75
Clean sheets: 1 / 4

2026-09-20Schalke 04 (A)0–0
2026-09-13Bayern Munich (H)1–2
2026-09-05M'gladbach (A)4–3
2026-08-29Leverkusen (H)3–2

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:13+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: b5125529521da3394cb69441b924d0a5b8d8180d9ddf97b296b7f54cc4b16d30
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →