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Union de Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction

2026-10-26 · ARG · Kickoff 2026-10-26T23:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Union de Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. match analysis

What is the Union de Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Draw (D) at 29.8%. The double-chance call is 12 at 70.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:56:49+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

X · 29.8%

Low
1 35.1%X 29.8%2 35.1%
Double chance

12 · 70.2%

Low
1X 64.9%X2 64.9%12 70.2%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:56:49+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; D has probability 29.8%.
  • The existing decision policy selects a draw in this close match; the published pick differs from the largest probability.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 10%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings29.7%39.7%30.6%
Market · margin removed35.1%29.8%35.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson34.3%29.6%36.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Union de Santa Fe

LLLLD

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-20Dep. Riestra (A)1–1
2026-10-10Defensa y Justicia (H)0–2
2026-10-03Boca Juniors (A)0–3
2026-09-19Independiente (H)1–2
2026-09-13Talleres Cordoba (A)1–2

Estudiantes L.P.

WLWDL

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-18San Lorenzo (H)1–2
2026-10-10Central Cordoba (A)2–2
2026-10-05Gimnasia Mendoza (H)3–0
2026-09-22Lanus (A)1–2
2026-09-12Platense (H)2–1

Head to head

2026-04-11 · Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Union de Santa Fe

2025-07-15 · Union de Santa Fe 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.

2025-01-25 · Estudiantes L.P. 3–1 Union de Santa Fe

2024-07-21 · Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Union de Santa Fe

2024-02-02 · Union de Santa Fe 0–1 Estudiantes L.P.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T11:56:49+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-20
Data fingerprint: 83ef2fa067beeaf07441899d09cba10883b019a43cbbf7a812f1b185f359a04a
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →