Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente prediction
I2026-09-19 · ARG · Kickoff 2026-09-19T19:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Union de Santa Fe (H) at 40.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 71.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:01:54+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 40.4%
Low1X · 71.7%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:01:54+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 40.4%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 10%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 30.0% | 40.0% | 30.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 40.4% | 31.3% | 28.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 33.7% | 30.0% | 36.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-15
Data fingerprint: 2b383c216babc0e76012c71b87289838c03d8b0e047f780286b59e8fb0fe6f55
Model: existing-source-policy-v1