Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Union de Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield prediction

2026-11-06 · ARG · Kickoff 2026-11-06T22:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Union de Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield match analysis

What is the Union de Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Union de Santa Fe (H) at 38.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 69.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:02+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 38.6%

Low
1 38.6%X 31.2%2 30.2%
Double chance

1X · 69.8%

Low
1X 69.8%X2 61.4%12 68.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:02+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 38.6%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 11%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings27.3%37.3%35.3%
Market · margin removed38.6%31.2%30.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson34.8%29.2%35.9%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Union de Santa Fe

LLDWD

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-11-01Newells Old Boys (A)1–1
2026-10-26Estudiantes L.P. (H)3–1
2026-10-20Dep. Riestra (A)1–1
2026-10-10Defensa y Justicia (H)0–2
2026-10-03Boca Juniors (A)0–3

Velez Sarsfield

DLWWD

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-31San Lorenzo (H)2–2
2026-10-26Central Cordoba (A)5–0
2026-10-18Gimnasia Mendoza (H)1–0
2026-10-12Lanus (A)0–2
2026-10-05Platense (H)2–2

Head to head

2026-04-27 · Velez Sarsfield 2–2 Union de Santa Fe

2024-12-07 · Union de Santa Fe 1–0 Velez Sarsfield

2023-07-24 · Velez Sarsfield 0–0 Union de Santa Fe

2022-08-06 · Union de Santa Fe 2–1 Velez Sarsfield

2021-09-07 · Velez Sarsfield 4–0 Union de Santa Fe

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T10:21:02+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-03
Data fingerprint: 985f33b54fcd9b925a539c984bf15a77f25434827ecace31e409b49864eaec55
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →