United States vs Mexico market sentiment

2026-10-04 · MARKET_FIF · Kickoff 2026-10-04T02:07:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the United States vs Mexico match analysis

What is the United States vs Mexico market prediction?

Market prediction: 2 at 40.7%. The market-derived double-chance prediction is 12 at 76.4%.

These are market-implied probabilities, separate from the Kickstatix model and excluded from its track record.

Market Prediction · This match is listed by the market feed. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. It is excluded from model accuracy and football-result statistics.

The saved market forecast and result appear below.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-04T01:07:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-04T01:04:48+00:00. 2.2 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-04T01:07:03+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 40.7%

✕ Wrong

1 35.7%2 40.7%X 23.6%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 76.4%

✓ Correct

12 76.4%1X 59.3%X2 64.3%

Result from the resolved 90-minute market: Home win. A verified football score is not available.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T11:17:58+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
United States	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Mexico	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$317.41K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$251.64K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

Probability movement · raw market prices

Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.

United States

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

Draw

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

Mexico

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

All event markets · 3

Will United States win on 2026-10-03?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%

Volume $145.43K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4757297
Fetched 2026-11-12T11:17:58+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-05T05:19:05.64169Z

Will United States vs. Mexico end in a draw?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $58.01K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4757298
Fetched 2026-11-12T11:17:58+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-05T03:55:04.83957Z

Will Mexico win on 2026-10-03?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $113.97K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4757299
Fetched 2026-11-12T11:17:58+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-05T05:35:04.934772Z

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Market-only coverage. No model forecast or verified football result is claimed.

View the complete prediction record →