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Urawa Reds vs Chiba prediction

2026-10-21 · JPN · Kickoff 2026-10-21T10:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Urawa Reds vs Chiba match analysis

What is the Urawa Reds vs Chiba prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Urawa Reds (H) at 58.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 82.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-20T12:08:32+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 58.4%

Low
1 58.4%X 24.1%2 17.5%
Double chance

1X · 82.5%

Low
1X 82.5%X2 41.6%12 75.9%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-20T12:08:32+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 58.4%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 23%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings46.4%31.8%21.8%
Market · margin removed58.4%24.1%17.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson69.4%18.7%11.9%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Urawa Reds

WLWLW

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-17Mito (A)1–0
2026-10-10FC Tokyo (A)0–3
2026-09-19Verdy (H)3–1
2026-09-13Okayama (H)1–2
2026-09-06Kashima Antlers (A)1–0

Chiba

WDLDD

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-17Yokohama F. Marinos (H)0–0
2026-10-11V-Varen Nagasaki (H)1–1
2026-09-19Shimizu S-Pulse (A)1–2
2026-09-13Verdy (A)1–1
2026-09-06Gamba Osaka (H)2–0

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-20T12:08:32+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-18
Data fingerprint: 7b4dc1d787274d1607a5eb6a7c9102df1cd1e0a55b153670f080ea5cc914808d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →