UTA Arad vs Petrolul prediction
P2026-11-06 · ROM · Kickoff 2026-11-06T15:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the UTA Arad vs Petrolul prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: UTA Arad (H) at 54.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 79.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:36+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 54.2%
Low1X · 79.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:36+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 54.2%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 16%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 38.4% | 35.8% | 25.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 54.2% | 24.8% | 21.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 38.1% | 30.6% | 31.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
UTA Arad
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Petrolul
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-03 · Petrolul 1–1 UTA Arad
2025-12-08 · UTA Arad 1–0 Petrolul
2025-08-01 · Petrolul 1–2 UTA Arad
2025-05-05 · UTA Arad 2–0 Petrolul
2025-02-15 · Petrolul 0–1 UTA Arad
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: a1710328d2e30fd34005a15f170ba5ef3e4801e8e532ab79545b9884585ec929
Model: existing-source-policy-v1