Utrecht vs Nijmegen prediction
N2026-11-08 · N1 · Kickoff 2026-11-08T19:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Utrecht vs Nijmegen prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Utrecht (H) at 39.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:28:04+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–3
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 39.3%
Low12 · 75.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:28:04+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 39.3%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 38.4% | 35.8% | 25.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 39.3% | 24.7% | 36.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 43.9% | 23.6% | 32.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Utrecht
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 2.90
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Nijmegen
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-11 · Nijmegen 1–3 Utrecht
2025-11-02 · Utrecht 1–0 Nijmegen
2025-03-15 · Utrecht 0–1 Nijmegen
2024-11-24 · Nijmegen 1–2 Utrecht
2024-03-17 · Utrecht 1–0 Nijmegen
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: b37ac04401fc4b139a0306049aa6e105109371e7d6c276fb2f716e1cacf1120f
Model: existing-source-policy-v1