Utrecht vs Zwolle prediction
Z2026-10-24 · N1 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T14:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Utrecht vs Zwolle prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Utrecht (H) at 58.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 80.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:10:02+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 58.6%
Medium1X · 80.7%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:10:02+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 58.6%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 13%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 49.8% | 30.1% | 20.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 58.6% | 22.0% | 19.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 62.4% | 20.0% | 17.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Utrecht
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 2.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Zwolle
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 2.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-22 · Utrecht 1–1 Zwolle
2025-08-31 · Zwolle 0–2 Utrecht
2025-02-01 · Zwolle 3–3 Utrecht
2024-08-11 · Utrecht 1–0 Zwolle
2024-04-03 · Utrecht 5–1 Zwolle
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-18
Data fingerprint: ab910b166205e4a75ed780d1e2e3e5a758136c5819afa7dc27d6c6e0ba3dd6e0
Model: existing-source-policy-v1