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V-Varen Nagasaki vs Verdy prediction

2026-11-01 · JPN · Kickoff 2026-11-01T05:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the V-Varen Nagasaki vs Verdy match analysis

What is the V-Varen Nagasaki vs Verdy prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: V-Varen Nagasaki (H) at 38.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-30T08:44:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 38.9%

Low
1 38.9%X 28.7%2 32.4%
Double chance

12 · 71.3%

Low
1X 67.6%X2 61.1%12 71.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-30T08:44:53+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 38.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 10%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings33.5%38.2%28.2%
Market · margin removed38.9%28.7%32.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson38.0%28.3%33.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

V-Varen Nagasaki

DDLWL

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-25Urawa Reds (A)0–1
2026-10-21Sanfrecce Hiroshima (H)4–0
2026-10-17Kashima Antlers (A)0–2
2026-10-11Chiba (A)1–1
2026-09-19Cerezo Osaka (H)1–1

Verdy

LLLDW

Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-24Avispa Fukuoka (H)3–1
2026-10-21Yokohama F. Marinos (A)2–2
2026-10-17FC Tokyo (H)0–4
2026-10-11Sanfrecce Hiroshima (H)0–2
2026-09-19Urawa Reds (A)1–3

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-30T08:44:53+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-25
Data fingerprint: e40287908db5aa9fd0a63983a6c3624158985c094ec248e08b5c4bab88baecf5
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →