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Vaduz vs Basel prediction

2026-10-11 · SWZ · Kickoff 2026-10-11T14:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Vaduz vs Basel match analysis

What is the Vaduz vs Basel prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Basel (A) at 40.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:13:16+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–0

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 40.1%

Low
1 36.3%X 23.7%2 40.1%
Double chance

12 · 76.3%

Low
1X 59.9%X2 63.7%12 76.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:13:16+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 40.1%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 19%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings24.5%34.5%41.1%
Market · margin removed36.3%23.7%40.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson19.3%21.5%59.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Vaduz

WLWLL

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 2.50
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-09-20Thun (H)1–2
2026-09-13Zurich (A)1–2
2026-09-05Lausanne (H)3–1
2026-09-02Luzern (A)1–2
2026-08-30Grasshoppers (H)5–2

Basel

DLLWL

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-20St. Gallen (H)1–3
2026-09-13Luzern (A)4–2
2026-09-06Lugano (H)1–3
2026-09-03Sion (H)1–2
2026-08-29Young Boys (A)3–3

Head to head

2021-04-21 · Vaduz 1–1 Basel

2021-04-05 · Basel 1–2 Vaduz

2020-12-12 · Vaduz 0–2 Basel

2020-09-20 · Basel 2–2 Vaduz

2017-04-22 · Basel 2–2 Vaduz

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:13:16+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: fbee137fcf65442199a30faef41701e377d692303b4c52163aa29d568d82f558
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →