Valerenga vs Brann prediction
B
2026-10-18 · NOR · Kickoff 2026-10-18T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Valerenga vs Brann prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Valerenga (H) at 39.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:42+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 39.3%
Low12 · 76.7%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:42+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-10-18T13:56:49+00:00. 3.2 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-18T14:00:19+00:00.
1 · 38.7%
✓ Correct12 · 75.4%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valerenga | 39.3% | 100.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 23.3% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Brann | 37.4% | 0.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Valerenga
Draw
Brann
All event markets · 3
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-10-18?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $34.17K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5298596Fetched 2026-11-11T20:38:31+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-19T18:01:00.05386Z
Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. SK Brann end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $2.35K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5298597Fetched 2026-11-11T20:38:31+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-19T17:15:26.293159Z
Will SK Brann win on 2026-10-18?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $25.73K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5298598Fetched 2026-11-11T20:38:31+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-19T17:17:24.376232Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-10-18T14:53:10+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 39.3%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 18%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 26.6% | 36.6% | 36.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 39.3% | 23.3% | 37.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 44.6% | 24.1% | 31.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Valerenga
Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 2.40
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Brann
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-07-26 · Brann 2–3 Valerenga
2025-09-13 · Brann 3–2 Valerenga
2025-05-03 · Valerenga 2–4 Brann
2023-10-08 · Valerenga 1–2 Brann
2023-04-22 · Brann 3–1 Valerenga
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: c1819ac6c2e54f5a77f8889b532bf009b002f0fa58c7da913c9b1394f7643845
Model: existing-source-policy-v1