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Valladolid vs Castellon prediction

2026-11-14 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-11-14T13:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Valladolid vs Castellon match analysis

What is the Valladolid vs Castellon prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Castellon (A) at 42.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-13T14:42:10+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 42.9%

Low
1 31.2%X 25.9%2 42.9%
Double chance

12 · 74.1%

Low
1X 57.1%X2 68.8%12 74.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-13T14:42:10+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 42.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings25.3%35.3%39.4%
Market · margin removed31.2%25.9%42.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson38.0%25.6%36.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-09. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Valladolid

WLLWW

Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-11-08Sp Gijon (A)2–1
2026-11-02Leganes (H)4–3
2026-10-23Granada (A)1–2
2026-10-18Eldense (H)2–3
2026-10-12Albacete (H)5–0

Castellon

DLWWD

Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 0.50
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-11-01Burgos (A)1–1
2026-10-25Sp Gijon (H)4–0
2026-10-17Las Palmas (A)3–0
2026-10-11Andorra (A)0–1
2026-10-04Ceuta (H)1–1

Head to head

2026-02-08 · Valladolid 0–4 Castellon

2025-08-22 · Castellon 0–1 Valladolid

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-13T14:42:10+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-09
Data fingerprint: c05c9ea306ce823d189dcbd77655e675a008434e9b12bc38dc1d581b1634b7df
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →