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Valladolid vs Eldense prediction

2026-10-18 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-10-18T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Valladolid vs Eldense match analysis

What is the Valladolid vs Eldense prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Valladolid (H) at 50.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 78.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:40:20+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–3

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 50.2%

Low
1 50.2%X 27.9%2 21.9%
Double chance

1X · 78.1%

Low
1X 78.1%X2 49.8%12 72.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:40:20+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 50.2%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 15%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings38.5%35.8%25.8%
Market · margin removed50.2%27.9%21.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson53.4%25.5%21.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Valladolid

LDWDW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-12Albacete (H)5–0
2026-10-04Las Palmas (A)2–2
2026-09-27Cordoba (H)3–1
2026-09-20Ceuta (A)1–1
2026-09-13Oviedo (H)0–3

Eldense

WLLWW

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-10Cordoba (H)2–1
2026-10-02Oviedo (H)4–1
2026-09-27Burgos (A)0–1
2026-09-19Eibar (H)1–2
2026-09-13Sp Gijon (A)1–0

Head to head

2024-04-13 · Valladolid 1–0 Eldense

2023-10-04 · Eldense 0–1 Valladolid

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:40:20+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 9034ef1242875df1a9dd5233ed3fda562162fbe205aea5643b7a6a9d8ad1c531
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →