Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction
AF2026-10-24 · JPN · Kickoff 2026-10-24T06:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Avispa Fukuoka (A) at 40.4%. The double-chance call is X2 at 70.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:57:11+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 40.4%
LowX2 · 70.2%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:57:11+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 40.4%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 34.7% | 37.7% | 27.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 29.8% | 29.8% | 40.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 35.6% | 33.3% | 31.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-21. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Verdy
Scored / game: 0.50
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Avispa Fukuoka
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2025-11-08 · Verdy 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka
2025-05-31 · Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Verdy
2024-07-20 · Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Verdy
2024-04-28 · Verdy 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-21
Data fingerprint: 6e2acc4f331d181111bbe928809b8c38b0138c7fc0d989f5c4817ae5468e8003
Model: existing-source-policy-v1