Verdy vs FC Tokyo prediction
FT2026-10-17 · JPN · Kickoff 2026-10-17T05:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Verdy vs FC Tokyo prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: FC Tokyo (A) at 58.2%. The double-chance call is X2 at 82.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:35+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–4
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 58.2%
LowX2 · 82.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:35+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 58.2%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 26.2% | 36.2% | 37.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 17.1% | 24.7% | 58.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 29.0% | 30.2% | 40.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Verdy
Scored / game: 0.50
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
FC Tokyo
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 6 / 10
Head to head
2025-09-15 · FC Tokyo 1–0 Verdy
2025-04-02 · Verdy 2–2 FC Tokyo
2024-08-17 · FC Tokyo 0–0 Verdy
2024-04-13 · Verdy 2–2 FC Tokyo
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: cdf7eef6db7d4f67df3ac48307d557e312712a9f245192079f78a88e4af30ac2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1