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Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction

2026-10-11 · JPN · Kickoff 2026-10-11T06:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima match analysis

What is the Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (A) at 65.7%. The double-chance call is X2 at 87.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:55+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 65.7%

Low
1 12.2%X 22.1%2 65.7%
Double chance

X2 · 87.8%

Low
1X 34.3%X2 87.8%12 77.9%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:55+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 65.7%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 22%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings23.1%33.1%43.9%
Market · margin removed12.2%22.1%65.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson23.4%29.3%47.3%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Verdy

LLDDL

Scored / game: 0.50
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-19Urawa Reds (A)1–3
2026-09-13Chiba (H)1–1
2026-09-06Cerezo Osaka (A)0–0
2026-09-02Vissel Kobe (H)0–2
2026-08-29Kashima Antlers (H)0–2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DWLWW

Scored / game: 2.40
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-09-19Avispa Fukuoka (A)1–0
2026-09-12Cerezo Osaka (H)6–1
2026-09-06Okayama (A)2–3
2026-09-02Nagoya Grampus (H)3–0
2026-08-29Gamba Osaka (A)0–0

Head to head

2025-08-23 · Verdy 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2025-05-17 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Verdy

2024-08-07 · Verdy 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2024-06-15 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Verdy

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:12:55+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 5c0d4e2d4516be93b23f5dfda16209d037b5a132b956a253ec2f615e87ec4850
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →