Villarreal vs Espanol prediction

2026-10-30 · SP1 · Kickoff 2026-10-30T20:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Villarreal vs Espanol match analysis

What is the Villarreal vs Espanol prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Villarreal (H) at 62.9%. The double-chance call is 1X at 84.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-28T20:21:23+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 62.9%

Medium

1 62.9%X 21.1%2 16.0%

Double chance

1X · 84.0%

Medium

1X 84.0%X2 37.1%12 78.9%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-28T20:21:23+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-30T19:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-11T13:20:26+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Villarreal	62.9%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	21.1%	0.0%	N/A
Espanol	16.0%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$862.69K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$508.06K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

Probability movement · raw market prices

Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.

Villarreal

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sample-49.5 pp49.5% → 0.0%

Draw

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sample-50.0 pp50.0% → 0.0%

Espanol

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sample+50.5 pp49.5% → 100.0%

All event markets · 3

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $529.23K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5797216
Fetched 2026-11-11T13:20:26+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-31T22:08:28.341729Z

Will Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $66.70K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5797218
Fetched 2026-11-11T13:20:26+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-31T21:56:26.488649Z

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-30?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%

Volume $266.76K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5797219
Fetched 2026-11-11T13:20:26+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-31T22:08:28.341729Z

Historical closing observations (not scored)

Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.

Last pre-match observation: 2026-10-30T19:59:04+00:00.

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods

The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 62.9%.
Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 13%.
Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.

Method	1	X	2
Elo ratings	51.5%	29.3%	19.3%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson	64.9%	18.9%	16.2%

Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-26. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Villarreal

WWLDW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-24Valencia (A)2–1

2026-10-17Elche (H)0–0

2026-10-10Real Madrid (A)0–1

2026-09-20Levante (H)3–1

2026-09-17Malaga (A)3–1

Espanol

LLDLL

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-24Santander (A)1–2

2026-10-17Ath Madrid (H)0–1

2026-10-09Malaga (A)1–1

2026-09-18Elche (H)1–3

2026-09-15Vallecano (A)1–2

Head to head

2026-02-09 · Villarreal 4–1 Espanol

2025-11-08 · Espanol 0–2 Villarreal

2025-04-27 · Villarreal 1–0 Espanol

2024-09-26 · Espanol 1–2 Villarreal

2023-04-27 · Villarreal 4–2 Espanol

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-28T20:21:23+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-26
Data fingerprint: f4eb0dfa37128149e57237ebc2800e9f0ec72bbdf0d62ca6195c448be76e3601
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →