Vitoria vs Athletico-PR prediction
A2026-10-24 · BRA · Kickoff 2026-10-24T19:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Vitoria vs Athletico-PR prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Vitoria (H) at 36.8%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:56:52+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 36.8%
Low12 · 71.5%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:56:52+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 36.8%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 12%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 29.1% | 39.1% | 31.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 36.8% | 28.5% | 34.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 38.6% | 27.0% | 34.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Vitoria
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Athletico-PR
Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-26 · Athletico-PR 3–1 Vitoria
2024-11-02 · Athletico-PR 1–2 Vitoria
2024-06-30 · Vitoria 0–1 Athletico-PR
2018-11-17 · Vitoria 1–2 Athletico-PR
2018-07-29 · Athletico-PR 4–0 Vitoria
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-20
Data fingerprint: 2d286b196b1077ac95eb79158e825d845b6dd40b7b39a2f4bd746d02aca23f61
Model: existing-source-policy-v1