VPS vs Gnistan prediction
G2026-10-12 · FIN · Kickoff 2026-10-12T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the VPS vs Gnistan prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: VPS (H) at 41.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:51+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 41.6%
Low12 · 73.6%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:51+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 41.6%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 16%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 30.9% | 39.5% | 29.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 41.6% | 26.4% | 32.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 46.6% | 23.8% | 29.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
VPS
Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Gnistan
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-06-27 · Gnistan 1–1 VPS
2026-05-09 · VPS 1–1 Gnistan
2025-08-15 · Gnistan 0–0 VPS
2025-06-18 · VPS 0–0 Gnistan
2024-10-23 · VPS 0–1 Gnistan
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: 3c17911e6dc06db4369edcf582f4d32999b5de89a4203c8ec7741a45bade4bb6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1