Walsall vs Crawley Town prediction
CT
2026-10-03 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-03T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Walsall vs Crawley Town prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Walsall (H) at 53.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 78.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-26T14:00:49+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 53.1%
Low1X · 78.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-26T14:00:49+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-10-03T12:48:16+00:00. 11.7 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-03T13:00:06+00:00.
2 · 46.4%
Awaiting result
12 · 74.9%
Awaiting result
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 53.1%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 8%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 46.6% | 31.7% | 21.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 53.0% | 24.1% | 22.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: c5e576a2fbe31c5733ac1e1378b7494543d2a0a9088f413d4a54b10e89fac805
Model: existing-source-policy-v1