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Waterford vs Galway prediction

2026-10-19 · IRL · Kickoff 2026-10-19T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Waterford vs Galway match analysis

What is the Waterford vs Galway prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Waterford (H) at 45.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:33+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 45.5%

Low
1 45.5%X 23.9%2 30.5%
Double chance

12 · 76.1%

Low
1X 69.5%X2 54.5%12 76.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:33+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 45.5%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings35.8%37.1%27.1%
Market · margin removed45.5%23.9%30.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson44.5%25.5%30.0%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Waterford

DWDDL

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-09-18Shamrock Rovers (A)2–3
2026-09-14Derry City (H)2–2
2026-09-11Dundalk (H)1–1
2026-08-28St. Patricks (A)2–0
2026-08-21Sligo Rovers (A)0–0

Galway

DLWLD

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-25Shelbourne (H)1–1
2026-09-18Derry City (A)0–1
2026-09-14Sligo Rovers (A)3–1
2026-09-11Bohemians (H)2–3
2026-08-28Shelbourne (H)1–1

Head to head

2026-07-25 · Galway 0–0 Waterford

2026-04-24 · Waterford 1–1 Galway

2026-03-16 · Galway 4–3 Waterford

2025-11-01 · Waterford 1–1 Galway

2025-07-25 · Galway 2–4 Waterford

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:33+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 085e3a63349a2de6dde45cfd1f9428a6bf94e9587cb2bc2ef8c7c86e7d8db030
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →