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Werder Bremen vs Paderborn prediction

2026-10-17 · D1 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T13:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Werder Bremen vs Paderborn match analysis

What is the Werder Bremen vs Paderborn prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Werder Bremen (H) at 54.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 77.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:26+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 54.4%

Low
1 54.4%X 22.9%2 22.6%
Double chance

1X · 77.4%

Low
1X 77.4%X2 45.6%12 77.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:26+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 54.4%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 20%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
Method1X2
Elo ratings34.2%37.9%27.9%
Market · margin removed54.4%22.9%22.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson50.9%27.7%21.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Werder Bremen

LWDWD

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-09Dortmund (A)2–2
2026-09-19Augsburg (H)3–2
2026-09-12FC Koln (A)1–1
2026-09-05RB Leipzig (H)3–1
2026-08-30Freiburg (A)1–4

Paderborn

DLLWL

Scored / game: 0.60
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 5

2026-10-10Stuttgart (H)0–2
2026-09-20Hoffenheim (H)3–1
2026-09-12Dortmund (A)0–3
2026-09-05Freiburg (H)0–1
2026-08-29Mainz (A)0–0

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:39:26+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: 5fdaaa4cd0c54a8fb1d72177af45ec30a598c85eac1d702153be00e95a148a78
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →