Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze prediction
GZ2026-10-23 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-23T18:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Gornik Zabrze (A) at 40.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-18T14:05:47+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 40.7%
Low12 · 71.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-18T14:05:47+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-10-23T17:26:30+00:00. 3.5 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-23T17:30:08+00:00.
2 · 42.3%
✕ Wrong12 · 71.6%
✕ WrongPrediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; A has probability 40.7%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 7%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 24.5% | 34.5% | 41.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 30.4% | 27.8% | 41.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Widzew Lodz
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Gornik Zabrze
Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-03-22 · Widzew Lodz 0–0 Gornik Zabrze
2025-09-21 · Gornik Zabrze 3–2 Widzew Lodz
2025-04-27 · Gornik Zabrze 0–0 Widzew Lodz
2024-10-27 · Widzew Lodz 0–2 Gornik Zabrze
2024-02-25 · Widzew Lodz 3–1 Gornik Zabrze
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 5bed97990eea5a3b45ce3b3e4084f9e5a6308eb1693b788679d88dd9a655e037
Model: existing-source-policy-v1