Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin prediction
PS2026-11-07 · POL · Kickoff 2026-11-07T19:15:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Pogon Szczecin (A) at 37.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.4%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-05T19:28:08+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 37.6%
Low12 · 72.4%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-05T19:28:08+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-11-07T18:08:21+00:00. 6.7 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-07T18:16:49+00:00.
1 · 51.5%
✓ Correct1X · 77.5%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; A has probability 37.6%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 10%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 26.7% | 36.7% | 36.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 34.8% | 27.1% | 38.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Widzew Lodz
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Pogon Szczecin
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-28 · Pogon Szczecin 1–0 Widzew Lodz
2025-08-22 · Widzew Lodz 1–2 Pogon Szczecin
2025-02-22 · Widzew Lodz 0–4 Pogon Szczecin
2024-08-17 · Pogon Szczecin 2–0 Widzew Lodz
2023-12-16 · Widzew Lodz 1–2 Pogon Szczecin
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: c11d98a7d52077cfbe97d7f4cccb05230e0fc7794a1579c43b5858b68c20be28
Model: existing-source-policy-v1