Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong prediction
CT2026-10-17 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-10-17T11:35:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Yunnan Yukun (H) at 53.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 77.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-10T11:38:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 53.3%
Low12 · 77.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-10T11:38:58+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 53.3%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 10%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 42.9% | 33.5% | 23.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 50.5% | 23.9% | 25.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Yunnan Yukun
Scored / game: 2.50
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-20 · Chongqing Tonglianglong 0–0 Yunnan Yukun
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-18
Data fingerprint: d62a6a3534f36059e5a7eed41cea2a544084810ba5feb2bf63a70aa885ca41ec
Model: existing-source-policy-v1