Market movers
Separate signals. Visible differences. Every pre-match observation kept on the record.
League One
102 / 186 listed matches have market data. Market-only entries are clearly labeled and excluded from our model track record.Last sync: 2026-11-12T16:46:23+00:00 · ok
AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
+0.5pp
35.0% → 35.5%
1X2 volume Unavailable · Liquidity $12.07KE2 · 24H RAW PRICEBlackpool
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
+0.0pp
36.0% → 36.0%
1X2 volume Unavailable · Liquidity $12.07KE2 · 24H RAW PRICEDraw
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
-0.5pp
28.0% → 27.5%
1X2 volume Unavailable · Liquidity $12.07KModel vs market track record
Market picks lock one hour before kickoff using the latest quote captured at or before that cutoff (maximum age: 20 minutes). Missing, late or stale quotes and changed schedules are excluded. Historical recovery uses only original stored observations; prices fetched afterwards never count.
4 paired settled matches · 83 settled fixtures excluded for missing or stale pre-match market observations. Market cutoff: one hour before kickoff. Maximum quote age at cutoff: 20 minutes.
| 1X2 signal | N | Accuracy | Log-loss ↓ | Brier ↓ | ECE ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 4 | 100.0% | 0.8751 | 0.5121 | 0.5821 |
| Market sentiment | 4 | 100.0% | 0.7466 | 0.4176 | 0.5162 |