Market movers
Separate signals. Visible differences. Every pre-match observation kept on the record.
National League
104 / 183 listed matches have market data. Market-only entries are clearly labeled and excluded from our model track record.Last sync: 2026-11-12T16:46:23+00:00 · ok
Worthing
Scunthorpe vs Worthing
31.5% → 34.0%
1X2 volume Unavailable · Liquidity $12.73KEC · 24H RAW PRICEDraw
Scunthorpe vs Worthing
24.0% → 25.0%
1X2 volume Unavailable · Liquidity $12.73KEC · 24H RAW PRICEFylde
Eastleigh vs Fylde
49.0% → 49.5%
1X2 volume Unavailable · Liquidity $10.66KEC · 24H RAW PRICEDraw
Eastleigh vs Fylde
24.0% → 24.0%
1X2 volume Unavailable · Liquidity $10.66KEC · 24H RAW PRICEGateshead
Gateshead vs Barrow
15.5% → 15.5%
1X2 volume Unavailable · Liquidity $9.73KEC · 24H RAW PRICEEastleigh
Eastleigh vs Fylde
27.5% → 27.0%
1X2 volume Unavailable · Liquidity $10.66KEC · 24H RAW PRICEDraw
Gateshead vs Barrow
22.0% → 21.5%
1X2 volume Unavailable · Liquidity $9.73KEC · 24H RAW PRICEScunthorpe
Scunthorpe vs Worthing
43.5% → 42.0%
1X2 volume Unavailable · Liquidity $12.73KEC · 24H RAW PRICEBarrow
Gateshead vs Barrow
63.5% → 61.5%
1X2 volume Unavailable · Liquidity $9.73KModel vs market track record
Market picks lock one hour before kickoff using the latest quote captured at or before that cutoff (maximum age: 20 minutes). Missing, late or stale quotes and changed schedules are excluded. Historical recovery uses only original stored observations; prices fetched afterwards never count.
12 paired settled matches · 92 settled fixtures excluded for missing or stale pre-match market observations. Market cutoff: one hour before kickoff. Maximum quote age at cutoff: 20 minutes.
| 1X2 signal | N | Accuracy | Log-loss ↓ | Brier ↓ | ECE ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12 | 66.7% | 0.9158 | 0.5433 | 0.2182 |
| Market sentiment | 12 | 83.3% | 0.7020 | 0.3840 | 0.2885 |