Market movers
Separate signals. Visible differences. Every pre-match observation kept on the record.
League Two
103 / 190 listed matches have market data. Market-only entries are clearly labeled and excluded from our model track record.Last sync: 2026-11-12T16:16:26+00:00 · ok
Draw
Walsall vs Barnet
+0.5pp
98.9% → 99.4%
1X2 volume $35.01K · Liquidity $114.59KE3 · 24H RAW PRICEBarnet
Walsall vs Barnet
+0.0pp
0.4% → 0.4%
1X2 volume $35.01K · Liquidity $114.59KE3 · 24H RAW PRICEWalsall
Walsall vs Barnet
-0.5pp
0.9% → 0.4%
1X2 volume $35.01K · Liquidity $114.59KModel vs market track record
Market picks lock one hour before kickoff using the latest quote captured at or before that cutoff (maximum age: 20 minutes). Missing, late or stale quotes and changed schedules are excluded. Historical recovery uses only original stored observations; prices fetched afterwards never count.
6 paired settled matches · 86 settled fixtures excluded for missing or stale pre-match market observations. Market cutoff: one hour before kickoff. Maximum quote age at cutoff: 20 minutes.
| 1X2 signal | N | Accuracy | Log-loss ↓ | Brier ↓ | ECE ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6 | 16.7% | 1.1161 | 0.6819 | 0.4362 |
| Market sentiment | 6 | 16.7% | 1.2391 | 0.7686 | 0.4813 |