FOOTBALL INTELLIGENCE

Our model. The market.

Separate signals. Visible differences. Every pre-match observation kept on the record.

Prediction vs Market Market movers Paired track record

Premier League

55 / 74 listed matches have market data. Market-only entries are clearly labeled and excluded from our model track record.
Last sync: 2026-11-12T16:46:23+00:00 · ok

Brentford FC vs Chelsea FCCF

E0 · 2026-09-18T19:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-09-18T18:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T00:38:58+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Brentford FC	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Chelsea FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$8.59M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$6.76M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

NUF

Newcastle United FC vs Hull City AFCHCA

E0 · 2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-09-19T13:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T02:41:30+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Newcastle United FC	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Hull City AFC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.86M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.43M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

Everton FC vs Ipswich Town FCITF

E0 · 2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-09-19T13:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T02:41:32+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Everton FC	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Ipswich Town FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$554.00K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$382.36K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

NFF

Nottingham Forest FC vs Coventry City FCCCF

E0 · 2026-09-19T16:30:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-09-19T15:30:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T03:53:11+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Nottingham Forest FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Coventry City FC	N/A	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.20M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.09M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

LUF

Leeds United FC vs Crystal Palace FCCPF

E0 · 2026-09-20T13:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-09-20T12:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T07:02:00+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Leeds United FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Crystal Palace FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$671.89K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$517.20K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

Arsenal vs LeedsL

E0 · 2026-10-10T11:30:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-10T10:30:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-10T10:25:44+00:00. 4.3 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-10T10:30:15+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 69.5%

✓ Correct

1 69.5%2 10.7%X 19.8%

Market double chance prediction

1X · 89.3%

✓ Correct

12 80.2%1X 89.3%X2 30.5%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T14:14:07+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Arsenal	69.3%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	18.5%	0.0%	N/A
Leeds	12.2%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.88M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.15M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Aston Villa vs BrentfordB

E0 · 2026-10-10T14:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-10T13:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-10-23T19:19:23+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Aston Villa	44.1%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	24.9%	100.0%	N/A
Brentford	31.0%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$797.74K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$56.58K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Chelsea vs BournemouthB

E0 · 2026-10-10T14:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-10T13:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-10-23T19:27:29+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Chelsea	50.1%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	24.1%	0.0%	N/A
Bournemouth	25.8%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.27M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$649.95K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Ipswich vs FulhamF

E0 · 2026-10-10T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-10T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-10T12:58:43+00:00. 1.3 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-10T13:00:02+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 39.3%

✕ Wrong

1 33.3%2 39.3%X 27.4%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 72.6%

✓ Correct

12 72.6%1X 60.7%X2 66.7%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-11T17:21:19+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Ipswich	34.2%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	27.3%	0.0%	N/A
Fulham	38.5%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$610.39K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$419.72K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Sunderland vs BrightonB

E0 · 2026-10-10T14:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-10T13:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-10-23T19:47:22+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Sunderland	31.7%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	24.0%	0.0%	N/A
Brighton	44.3%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$886.55K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$623.73K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Man United vs TottenhamT

E0 · 2026-10-10T16:30:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-10T15:30:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-10T15:18:17+00:00. 11.7 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-10T15:30:02+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 55.8%

✕ Wrong

1 55.8%2 21.6%X 22.6%

Market double chance prediction

1X · 78.4%

✓ Correct

12 77.4%1X 78.4%X2 44.2%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-11T20:21:36+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Man United	51.2%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	21.6%	100.0%	N/A
Tottenham	27.1%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.60M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$950.84K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Crystal Palace vs Nott'm ForestNF

E0 · 2026-10-11T13:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-11T12:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-11T11:51:06+00:00. 8.9 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-11T12:00:17+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 37.3%

✕ Wrong

1 34.3%2 37.3%X 28.4%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 71.6%

✓ Correct

12 71.6%1X 62.7%X2 65.7%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T16:00:36+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Crystal Palace	39.6%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	27.6%	0.0%	N/A
Nott'm Forest	32.8%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$740.61K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$502.42K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

HCA

Hull City AFC vs Everton FCEF

E0 · 2026-10-11T13:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-11T12:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-11T11:54:21+00:00. 5.7 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-11T12:00:17+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 45.3%

✕ Wrong

1 25.4%2 45.3%X 29.4%

Market double chance prediction

X2 · 74.6%

✓ Correct

12 70.6%1X 54.7%X2 74.6%

Result from the resolved 90-minute market: Draw. A verified football score is not available.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T15:15:16+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Hull City AFC	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Everton FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$2.30M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.45M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

Liverpool vs Man CityMC

E0 · 2026-10-11T15:30:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-11T14:30:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-10-24T18:41:53+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Liverpool	34.8%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	24.7%	0.0%	N/A
Man City	40.5%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$3.86M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$3.06M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

CCF

Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FCNUF

E0 · 2026-10-12T19:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-12T18:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-12T17:55:20+00:00. 4.7 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-12T18:00:14+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 47.3%

✕ Wrong

1 26.4%2 47.3%X 26.4%

Market double chance prediction

X2 · 73.6%

✕ Wrong

12 73.6%1X 52.7%X2 73.6%

Result from the resolved 90-minute market: Home win. A verified football score is not available.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-11T23:29:04+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Coventry City FC	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Newcastle United FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$2.32M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.67M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

Everton vs ChelseaC

E0 · 2026-10-17T11:30:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-17T10:30:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-10-30T22:57:53+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Everton	36.9%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	27.1%	0.0%	N/A
Chelsea	36.0%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.96M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.29M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Brentford vs LiverpoolL

E0 · 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-17T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-17T12:47:33+00:00. 12.4 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-17T13:00:34+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 37.7%

✕ Wrong

1 37.7%2 35.7%X 26.6%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 73.4%

✓ Correct

12 73.4%1X 64.3%X2 62.3%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T16:00:41+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Brentford	34.0%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	24.8%	0.0%	N/A
Liverpool	41.3%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.86M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.14M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Man City vs IpswichI

E0 · 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-17T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-17T12:55:58+00:00. 4.0 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-17T13:00:34+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 77.9%

✓ Correct

1 77.9%2 8.5%X 13.6%

Market double chance prediction

1X · 91.5%

✓ Correct

12 86.4%1X 91.5%X2 22.1%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T16:06:01+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Man City	78.7%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	13.1%	0.0%	N/A
Ipswich	8.3%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$2.64M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.43M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Fulham FC vs Hull City AFCHCA

E0 · 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-17T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-17T12:59:11+00:00. 0.8 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-17T13:00:34+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 58.8%

✓ Correct

1 58.8%2 17.6%X 23.6%

Market double chance prediction

1X · 82.4%

✓ Correct

12 76.4%1X 82.4%X2 41.2%

Result from the resolved 90-minute market: Home win. A verified football score is not available.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T16:00:42+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Fulham FC	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Hull City AFC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.05M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$754.94K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

Newcastle vs Aston VillaAV

E0 · 2026-10-17T16:30:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-17T15:30:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-10-31T02:13:45+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Newcastle	51.3%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	23.9%	0.0%	N/A
Aston Villa	24.8%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$2.29M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.89M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Bournemouth vs SunderlandS

E0 · 2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-18T12:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-01T00:49:34+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Bournemouth	40.8%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	27.6%	0.0%	N/A
Sunderland	31.6%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$957.63K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$548.33K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Brighton vs Crystal PalaceCP

E0 · 2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-18T12:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-01T00:49:32+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Brighton	54.9%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	22.3%	0.0%	N/A
Crystal Palace	22.9%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$7.66M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$2.85M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Leeds vs Man UnitedMU

E0 · 2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-18T12:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-18T11:58:40+00:00. 1.3 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-18T12:00:15+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 37.3%

✕ Wrong

1 37.3%2 35.3%X 27.4%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 72.6%

✕ Wrong

12 72.6%1X 64.7%X2 62.7%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T15:11:41+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Leeds	41.2%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	25.8%	100.0%	N/A
Man United	33.1%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.25M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$901.90K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Nott'm Forest vs ArsenalA

E0 · 2026-10-18T15:30:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-18T14:30:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-01T02:53:07+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Nott'm Forest	19.0%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	23.2%	0.0%	N/A
Arsenal	57.8%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$13.73M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$5.84M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

THF

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FCCCF

E0 · 2026-10-19T19:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-19T18:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-19T17:57:16+00:00. 2.7 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-19T18:00:01+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 62.2%

✓ Correct

1 62.2%2 16.4%X 21.4%

Market double chance prediction

1X · 83.6%

✓ Correct

12 78.6%1X 83.6%X2 37.8%

Result from the resolved 90-minute market: Home win. A verified football score is not available.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-11T22:14:40+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Tottenham Hotspur FC	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Coventry City FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$2.61M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.51M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

Ipswich vs Nott'm ForestNF

E0 · 2026-10-23T19:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-23T18:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-23T17:56:12+00:00. 3.8 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-23T18:04:46+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 42.7%

✕ Wrong

1 29.6%2 42.7%X 27.6%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 72.4%

✕ Wrong

12 72.4%1X 57.3%X2 70.4%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-11T21:56:51+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Ipswich	31.3%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	27.2%	100.0%	N/A
Nott'm Forest	41.5%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.81M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.44M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Aston Villa vs Man CityMC

E0 · 2026-10-24T11:30:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-24T10:30:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-06T19:02:30+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Aston Villa	22.1%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	23.6%	0.0%	N/A
Man City	54.3%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$4.93M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$3.90M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Arsenal vs EvertonE

E0 · 2026-10-24T14:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-24T13:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-06T20:29:32+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Arsenal	68.2%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	20.9%	0.0%	N/A
Everton	10.9%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$3.47M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$2.49M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

CCF

Coventry City FC vs Fulham FCFF

E0 · 2026-10-24T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-24T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-24T12:50:29+00:00. 9.5 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-24T13:02:24+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 42.3%

✓ Correct

1 30.3%2 42.3%X 27.4%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 72.6%

✓ Correct

12 72.6%1X 57.7%X2 69.7%

Result from the resolved 90-minute market: Away win. A verified football score is not available.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T15:48:38+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Coventry City FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Fulham FC	N/A	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$676.47K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$430.56K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

Chelsea vs TottenhamT

E0 · 2026-10-24T16:30:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-24T15:30:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-06T22:00:11+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Chelsea	53.7%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	20.4%	0.0%	N/A
Tottenham	25.9%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$9.42M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$6.53M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Crystal Palace vs NewcastleN

E0 · 2026-10-25T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-25T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-25T12:48:41+00:00. 11.3 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-25T13:00:15+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 40.1%

✓ Correct

1 34.0%2 40.1%X 25.9%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 74.1%

✓ Correct

12 74.1%1X 59.9%X2 66.0%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T16:24:27+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Crystal Palace	35.6%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	25.2%	0.0%	N/A
Newcastle	39.2%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$483.48K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$309.39K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Liverpool vs BrightonB

E0 · 2026-10-25T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-25T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-25T12:48:40+00:00. 11.3 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-25T13:00:15+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 45.7%

✓ Correct

1 45.7%2 28.6%X 25.6%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 74.4%

✓ Correct

12 74.4%1X 71.4%X2 54.3%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T16:24:28+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Liverpool	51.1%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	20.5%	0.0%	N/A
Brighton	28.5%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.95M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$863.44K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Man United vs BournemouthB

E0 · 2026-10-25T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-25T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-25T12:48:40+00:00. 11.3 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-25T13:00:15+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 39.7%

✕ Wrong

1 39.7%2 32.7%X 27.6%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 72.4%

✓ Correct

12 72.4%1X 67.3%X2 60.3%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T16:24:29+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Man United	52.7%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	24.1%	0.0%	N/A
Bournemouth	23.2%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$2.39M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.79M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

HCA

Hull City AFC vs Brentford FCBF

E0 · 2026-10-25T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-25T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-25T12:55:09+00:00. 4.8 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-25T13:00:15+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 57.8%

✕ Wrong

1 18.6%2 57.8%X 23.6%

Market double chance prediction

X2 · 81.4%

✓ Correct

12 76.4%1X 42.2%X2 81.4%

Result from the resolved 90-minute market: Draw. A verified football score is not available.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market data fetched 2026-11-12T16:27:47+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Hull City AFC	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Brentford FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.46M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.11M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

Sunderland vs LeedsL

E0 · 2026-10-25T16:30:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-25T15:30:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-25T15:27:36+00:00. 2.4 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-25T15:30:11+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 35.0%

✕ Wrong

1 34.0%2 35.0%X 31.0%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 69.0%

✕ Wrong

12 69.0%1X 65.0%X2 66.0%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-11T19:33:57+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Sunderland	31.0%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	29.0%	100.0%	N/A
Leeds	40.0%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$4.28M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$3.73M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Chelsea vs Man UnitedMU

E0 · 2026-10-31T12:30:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-31T11:30:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-31T11:11:43+00:00. 18.3 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-31T11:36:20+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 45.3%

✓ Correct

1 45.3%2 29.4%X 25.4%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 74.6%

✓ Correct

12 74.6%1X 70.6%X2 54.7%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T03:32:49+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Chelsea	47.8%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	24.8%	0.0%	N/A
Man United	27.4%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$2.74M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.91M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Bournemouth vs LeedsL

E0 · 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-31T14:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-31T13:55:41+00:00. 4.3 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-31T14:01:59+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 46.3%

✓ Correct

1 46.3%2 25.4%X 28.4%

Market double chance prediction

1X · 74.6%

✓ Correct

12 71.6%1X 74.6%X2 53.7%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T06:16:35+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Bournemouth	45.4%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	27.5%	0.0%	N/A
Leeds	27.1%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$314.39K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$232.22K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Brentford vs Nott'm ForestNF

E0 · 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-31T14:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T04:13:36+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Brentford	49.8%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	24.7%	0.0%	N/A
Nott'm Forest	25.5%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$239.39K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$85.72K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Man City vs BrightonB

E0 · 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-31T14:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T04:13:37+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Man City	64.7%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	20.2%	0.0%	N/A
Brighton	15.1%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.46M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$881.15K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

CCF

Coventry City FC vs Sunderland AFCSA

E0 · 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-31T14:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-31T13:55:42+00:00. 4.3 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-31T14:01:59+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 40.7%

✕ Wrong

1 30.7%2 40.7%X 28.6%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 71.4%

✓ Correct

12 71.4%1X 59.3%X2 69.3%

Result from the resolved 90-minute market: Home win. A verified football score is not available.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T06:16:42+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Coventry City FC	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Sunderland AFC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$290.70K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$101.50K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

HCA

Hull City AFC vs Ipswich Town FCITF

E0 · 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-31T14:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-31T13:55:42+00:00. 4.3 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-31T14:01:59+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 37.9%

✕ Wrong

1 34.0%2 37.9%X 28.1%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 71.9%

✕ Wrong

12 71.9%1X 62.1%X2 66.0%

Result from the resolved 90-minute market: Draw. A verified football score is not available.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T06:16:43+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Hull City AFC	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Ipswich Town FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$569.59K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$411.11K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

Tottenham vs Crystal PalaceCP

E0 · 2026-10-31T17:30:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-31T16:30:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T07:01:59+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Tottenham	52.0%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	23.1%	0.0%	N/A
Crystal Palace	24.9%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.17M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$838.07K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Aston Villa vs FulhamF

E0 · 2026-10-31T20:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-31T19:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T10:22:41+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Aston Villa	50.1%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	25.5%	100.0%	N/A
Fulham	24.4%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.79M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.20M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Liverpool vs ArsenalA

E0 · 2026-11-01T16:30:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-01T15:30:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-01T15:29:07+00:00. 0.9 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-01T15:30:06+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 40.3%

✓ Correct

1 31.3%2 40.3%X 28.4%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 71.6%

✓ Correct

12 71.6%1X 59.7%X2 68.7%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T05:22:30+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Liverpool	32.0%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	27.5%	0.0%	N/A
Arsenal	40.5%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$2.31M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.65M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Newcastle vs EvertonE

E0 · 2026-11-02T20:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-02T19:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-02T18:55:21+00:00. 4.7 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-02T19:00:21+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 45.3%

✕ Wrong

1 45.3%2 28.4%X 26.4%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 73.6%

✓ Correct

12 73.6%1X 71.6%X2 54.7%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T03:03:59+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Newcastle	42.5%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	26.0%	0.0%	N/A
Everton	31.5%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.91M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.11M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Everton FC vs Coventry City FCCCF

E0 · 2026-11-06T20:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-06T19:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-06T18:59:53+00:00. 0.1 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-06T19:00:24+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 57.8%

✓ Correct

1 57.8%2 18.6%X 23.6%

Market double chance prediction

1X · 81.4%

✓ Correct

12 76.4%1X 81.4%X2 42.2%

Result from the resolved 90-minute market: Home win. A verified football score is not available.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-11T19:01:36+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Everton FC	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Coventry City FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.10M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$705.57K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

Leeds vs TottenhamT

E0 · 2026-11-07T12:30:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-07T11:30:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-07T11:25:29+00:00. 4.5 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-07T11:30:07+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 37.7%

✕ Wrong

1 33.7%2 37.7%X 28.6%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 71.4%

✓ Correct

12 71.4%1X 62.3%X2 66.3%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T07:24:22+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Leeds	35.1%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	28.0%	0.0%	N/A
Tottenham	36.9%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.72M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.14M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Fulham vs NewcastleN

E0 · 2026-11-07T15:00:00+00:00

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-07T14:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T09:45:40+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Fulham	33.7%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	25.4%	100.0%	N/A
Newcastle	40.8%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.12M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$738.08K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Arsenal FC vs Hull City AFCHCA

E0 · 2026-11-07T15:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-07T14:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-07T13:58:17+00:00. 1.7 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-07T14:10:13+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 85.5%

✓ Correct

1 85.5%2 4.0%X 10.5%

Market double chance prediction

1X · 96.0%

✓ Correct

12 89.5%1X 96.0%X2 14.5%

Result from the resolved 90-minute market: Home win. A verified football score is not available.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T11:51:33+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Arsenal FC	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Hull City AFC	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$2.27M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.48M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Full analysis & price history →

Nott'm Forest vs Man CityMC

E0 · 2026-11-07T17:30:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-07T16:30:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-07T16:15:42+00:00. 14.3 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-07T16:30:12+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 57.8%

✕ Wrong

1 19.6%2 57.8%X 22.6%

Market double chance prediction

X2 · 80.4%

✕ Wrong

12 77.4%1X 42.2%X2 80.4%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T14:02:54+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Nott'm Forest	16.3%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	21.2%	0.0%	N/A
Man City	62.6%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$4.18M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$3.26M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Brighton vs BrentfordB

E0 · 2026-11-08T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-08T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-08T12:54:57+00:00. 5.0 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-08T13:14:31+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 52.2%

✓ Correct

1 52.2%2 23.4%X 24.4%

Market double chance prediction

1X · 76.6%

✓ Correct

12 75.6%1X 76.6%X2 47.8%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T04:29:10+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Brighton	50.1%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	24.2%	0.0%	N/A
Brentford	25.6%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.71M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$1.40M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Crystal Palace vs LiverpoolL

E0 · 2026-11-08T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-08T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-08T12:54:56+00:00. 5.1 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-08T13:14:31+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 62.2%

✓ Correct

1 16.4%2 62.2%X 21.4%

Market double chance prediction

X2 · 83.6%

✓ Correct

12 78.6%1X 37.8%X2 83.6%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T04:29:10+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Crystal Palace	18.1%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	21.5%	0.0%	N/A
Liverpool	60.4%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$1.49M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$925.35K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Ipswich vs BournemouthB

E0 · 2026-11-08T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-08T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-08T12:54:52+00:00. 5.1 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-08T13:14:31+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 49.7%

✓ Correct

1 24.6%2 49.7%X 25.6%

Market double chance prediction

X2 · 75.4%

✓ Correct

12 74.4%1X 50.3%X2 75.4%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T04:29:08+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Ipswich	25.0%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	25.0%	0.0%	N/A
Bournemouth	50.1%	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$349.42K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$235.57K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Sunderland vs ChelseaC

E0 · 2026-11-08T14:00:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-08T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-08T12:54:52+00:00. 5.1 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-08T13:14:31+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 48.2%

✕ Wrong

1 25.9%2 48.2%X 25.9%

Market double chance prediction

X2 · 74.1%

✕ Wrong

12 74.1%1X 51.8%X2 74.1%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T04:29:09+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Sunderland	24.9%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	25.9%	0.0%	N/A
Chelsea	49.2%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$8.09M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$6.06M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

Man United vs Aston VillaAV

E0 · 2026-11-08T16:30:00+00:00

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-08T15:30:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-08T15:27:54+00:00. 2.1 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-08T15:30:15+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 46.8%

✕ Wrong

1 46.8%2 28.1%X 25.1%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 74.9%

✕ Wrong

12 74.9%1X 71.9%X2 53.2%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T06:49:16+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Man United	45.5%	0.0%	N/A
Draw	25.6%	100.0%	N/A
Aston Villa	28.9%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$5.97M

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$4.58M

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Full analysis & price history →

SAME MATCHES. SAME RULES.

Model vs market track record

Market picks lock one hour before kickoff using the latest quote captured at or before that cutoff (maximum age: 20 minutes). Missing, late or stale quotes and changed schedules are excluded. Historical recovery uses only original stored observations; prices fetched afterwards never count.

23 paired settled matches · 36 settled fixtures excluded for missing or stale pre-match market observations. Market cutoff: one hour before kickoff. Maximum quote age at cutoff: 20 minutes.

1X2 signal	N	Accuracy	Log-loss ↓	Brier ↓	ECE ↓
Our model	23	52.2%	1.0033	0.5959	0.0672
Market sentiment	23	43.5%	0.9945	0.5932	0.2477

All paired rows, exclusions, league/confidence splits & calibration →